Oil Futures Mixed, Traders Assess Mideast Developments
Maria Eugenia Garcia
DTN Energy Editor
HOUSTON, TX (DTN) --Oil futures traded mixed on Monday (7/20) as investors
assessed competing signals from the Middle East, an escalating exchange of
attacks between the U.S. and Iran, against reports that both countries could
enter diplomatic negotiations toward a temporary ceasefire.
Early Monday, oil futures dropped following the comments of the Iranian
Foreign Ministry signaling Tehran was open to returning to the negotiating
table, fueling optimism that diplomatic efforts could produce a 10-day
ceasefire to allow for new talks.
The decline proved short-lived after Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi militia
announced it would impose maritime navigation ban on Saudi Arabia, reigniting
concerns about global supply disruptions. Houthi attacks on commercial vessels
between late 2024 and 2025, sharply reduced traffic in the Suez Canal, forcing
shippers to reroute around the Cape of Good Hope. Attacks from Yemen against
shipping in the region could jeopardize millions of barrels per day of crude
oil exports that have been rerouted to ports on the Red Sea.
Oil flows from the Middle East have already plummeted with the ceasefire
collapse. Ship tracking data showed that only four vessels transited the strait
Sunday. During the U.S.-Iranian truce, following the initial wave of leaving
laden tankers, an average of 20 to 30 vessels per day traversed the chokepoint,
compared to a rate of more than 120 per day before the outbreak of the war on
February 27.
Separately, the U.S. Energy Information Administration has reported no crude
imports from Iraq or Saudia Arabia in recent weeks, reflecting the disruption
caused by the renewed blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
The NYMEX WTI futures contract for August delivery rose $0.35 to $82.84 bbl,
while the ICE Brent futures contract for September delivery increased $0.60 to
$88.70 bbl.
Front-month NYMEX ULSD futures for August delivery rose $0.0420 to $4.1066
gallon, and front-month RBOB futures edged down $0.0062 to $3.3865 gallon.
The US dollar index strengthened by 0.174 points to 100.76 against a basket
of foreign currencies.
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